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The history and future of a changing Sebago Lake.

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What will Sebago Lake be like with an expected increase in temperature due to global warming? What has already changed? How does the lake respond to extreme weather events associated with regional warming? Historical data combined with Sebago Lake Buoy data and local weather station data in 2018, 2019, and 2021 provide clear examples of how extreme weather events influence lake conditions. These events rapidly change the depth of the warm-water mixed layer, heat fluxes, daily surface temperatures, and are also responsible for the timing of seasonal vertical turn-over in the lake.  Longer-term changes to the heat content and thermal structure of Sebago Lake are presented from historical ice-out data and modeling results. What may the future hold for our treasured lake?

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